Trump Media Unveils Truth Predict: Social Media Meets Prediction Markets in Exclusive Crypto.com Partnership

Truth Social to Integrate Regulated Prediction Markets via CFTC-Registered Platform

TL;DR

• Trump Media launches “Truth Predict,” making Truth Social the first social platform to offer integrated prediction markets.
• Exclusive partnership formed with Crypto.com Derivatives North America (CFTC-registered exchange and clearinghouse).
• Users can convert Truth gems to Cronos (CRO) and trade contracts on elections, commodities, and major events.

Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) announced on October 28 that its flagship platform Truth Social will introduce a new feature called Truth Predict, a built-in prediction market developed in partnership with Crypto.com Derivatives North America (CDNA). The integration aims to transform the social media platform into what the company describes as the world’s first to offer prediction-market trading directly inside a social network. CDNA, a registered exchange and clearinghouse under the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), will provide the underlying regulatory and technical framework for the product.

Truth Predict is designed to let users engage in contracts tied to the outcomes of global events, including political elections, Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, inflation shifts, major sports results, and commodity prices such as oil and gold. The feature will first undergo beta testing on Truth Social before a U.S. launch, followed by international expansion pending regulatory approval. The company emphasized that real-time pricing and market updates will allow users to react to ongoing developments as they unfold.

The product’s mechanics tie directly into Truth Social’s existing engagement system. Participants already earn “Truth gems” for activity on the platform, and under the new model, those gems can be converted into Cronos (CRO)—the native digital asset of Crypto.com—then used to purchase prediction contracts within Truth Predict. Trump Media said the CRO-rewards system was introduced earlier this year as part of its strategic collaboration with Crypto.com, forming a bridge between user engagement and financial participation.

Trump Media reported that it held more than $3 billion in financial assets as of the end of the second quarter and achieved its first quarter of positive operating cash flow since going public in 2024. These financial benchmarks were cited as evidence of the company’s stability heading into this next phase. The firm also revealed plans to create a subsidiary named Trump Media Group CRO Strategy, Inc., dedicated to digital-asset treasury management—including acquisition and deployment of CRO—connected to an upcoming business combination with Yorkville Acquisition Corp. (Nasdaq: MCGA).

Devin Nunes, CEO and chairman of Trump Media, described the move as a natural evolution of the platform. “We are thrilled to become the world’s first publicly traded social media platform to offer our users access to prediction markets,” he said. “Truth Predict will allow our loyal users to engage in prediction markets with a trusted network while harnessing our social media platform to provide totally unique ways for users to discuss and compare their predictions. With more than $3 billion in financial assets as of the end of the second quarter, and having posted our first quarter of positive operating cash flow after going public just last year, Trump Media is well-positioned to leverage our strong balance sheet and existing social media capabilities to create a new standard for access to prediction market platforms.” Nunes added that the goal is to “democratize information and empower everyday Americans to harness the wisdom of the crowd, turning free speech into actionable foresight.”

Crypto.com co-founder and CEO Kris Marszalek called the initiative a step toward a “multi-deca-billion-dollar industry.” He said the integration “aligns perfectly with what users look for in social media—a community to engage with and seek truth. Truth Predict will provide customers with a powerful tool related to market sentiment on an unlimited number of events.” Marszalek added that combining Truth Social’s user base with Crypto.com’s regulated trading technology represents a major opportunity to merge community engagement with market insight.

The partnership underscores a shift in Trump Media’s strategy from a traditional free-speech-focused network toward a more transactional, finance-driven model. By linking social engagement directly to tradable prediction contracts, the company introduces a monetization loop where activity, token rewards, and market speculation intersect. Still, regulatory and operational hurdles remain. Prediction markets often occupy a gray area under financial and gaming laws, and while CDNA’s CFTC registration provides a measure of compliance, international rollout will depend on jurisdictional approvals.

For now, Truth Predict’s success hinges on beta performance and user adoption once the U.S. launch begins. The concept positions Trump Media at the intersection of social interaction, fintech, and crypto markets—an unconventional combination that could redefine how online communities translate attention into economic participation.

This article has been refined and enhanced by ChatGPT.